UMass Lowell
W-L: ( 2- 4) PR = 88.8632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H UT Arlington WAC (11-13, 89.1) 1- 6 206 H New Mexico State CUSA (14-15, 90.6) 0- 8 207 H Utah Valley WAC (17- 8, 92.0) 0- 10 208 H UTEP CUSA ( 9-17, 88.2) 12- 2 220 H UTSA AC (16-13, 89.6) 3- 4 221 H UTSA AC (16-13, 89.6) 3- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H UT Arlington 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.79
206 H New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.32
207 H Utah Valley 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.87
208 H UTEP 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.33
220 H UTSA 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.26
221 H UTSA 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.32 207 H Utah Valley 0-10 -10 -3 --- -6.87 206 H UT Arlington 1- 6 -5 0 -- -4.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H UTEP 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.33 221 H UTSA 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.74 |
UMass Lowell Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Bryant | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Maine | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| UMBC | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | Charlotte | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | UMass Lowell | |
| North Texas | North Texas | North Texas | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Tulsa | Tulsa | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Tulsa | |
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | UTSA | |
| Wichita State | Wichita State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wichita State | |
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | NC State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Austin Peay | Austin Peay | Austin Peay | ||
| Bellarmine | Bellarmine | Bellarmine | ||
| Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | ||
| Eastern Kentucky | Eastern Kentucky | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Eastern Kentucky | |
| Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | ||
| Jacksonville | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Lipscomb | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| North Alabama | North Alabama | North Alabama | ||
| North Florida | North Florida | North Florida | ||
| Queens University | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Stetson | Stetson | Stetson | ||
| West Georgia | West Georgia | West Georgia | ||
| Dayton | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Fordham | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | George Mason | ||
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Loyola Chicago | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | Rhode Island | ||
| Saint Joseph's | Saint Joseph's | Saint Joseph's | ||
| Saint Louis | Saint Louis | Saint Louis | ||
| St. Bonaventure | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Butler | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Creighton | Creighton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Creighton | |
| DePaul | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Providence | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Seton Hall | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| St. John's | St. John's | St. John's | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Villanova | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Idaho State | Idaho State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Idaho State | |
| Montana | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | UMass Lowell | |
| Northern Colorado | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Portland State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Sacramento State | Sacramento State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sacramento State | |
| Weber State | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan State | Michigan State | Michigan State | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona State | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Iowa State | |
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Utah | |
| Charleston Southern | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Gardner-Webb | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Longwood | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Presbyterian | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Radford | Radford | Radford | ||
| USC Upstate | USC Upstate | USC Upstate | ||
| Winthrop | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | ||
| Cal State Northridge | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Cal Poly | Cal Poly | Cal Poly | ||
| Cal State Bakersfield | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Hawai'i | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Long Beach State | Long Beach State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Long Beach State | |
| UC Davis | UC Davis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UC Davis | |
| UC Riverside | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | ||
| UC San Diego | UC San Diego | UC San Diego | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Charleston | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Elon | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Hampton | Hampton | Hampton | ||
| Hofstra | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Monmouth | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | North Carolina A&T | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UNC Wilmington | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| FIU | FIU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | FIU | |
| Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | ||
| Kennesaw State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Louisiana Tech | |
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Liberty | |
| Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | ||
| Missouri State | Missouri State | Missouri State | ||
| New Mexico State | New Mexico State | New Mexico State | ||
| Sam Houston | Sam Houston | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | Sam Houston | |
| UTEP | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | ||
| Detroit Mercy | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Green Bay | Green Bay | Green Bay | ||
| IUPUI | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Northern Kentucky | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Oakland | Oakland | Oakland | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Youngstown State | Youngstown State | Youngstown State | ||
| MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | ||
| Brown | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Columbia | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UMass Lowell | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Yale | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Fairfield | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Manhattan | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Marist | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Merrimack | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Quinnipiac | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Rider | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| Akron | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Ball State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Buffalo | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Central Michigan | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Kent State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | ||
| Northern Illinois | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Western Michigan | Western Michigan | Western Michigan | ||
| Howard | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| North Carolina Central | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Coppin State | Coppin State | Coppin State | ||
| Delaware State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | ||
| Morgan State | Morgan State | Morgan State | ||
| Norfolk State | Norfolk State | Norfolk State | ||
| SC State | SC State | SC State | ||
| Belmont | Belmont | Belmont | ||
| Bradley | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Drake | Drake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Drake | |
| Evansville | Evansville | Evansville | ||
| Illinois State | Illinois State | Illinois State | ||
| Indiana State | Indiana State | Indiana State | ||
| Murray State | Murray State | Murray State | ||
| Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | ||
| Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Southern Illinois | |
| UIC | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Valparaiso | Valparaiso | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Valparaiso | |
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado State | Colorado State | Colorado State | ||
| Fresno State | Fresno State | Fresno State | ||
| Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego State | San Diego State | San Diego State | ||
| San José State | San José State | San José State | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UNLV | |
| Utah State | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| Morehead State | Morehead State | Morehead State | ||
| Southeast Missouri State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| SIU Edwardsville | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Southern Indiana | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Tennessee Tech | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Tennessee State | Tennessee State | Tennessee State | ||
| UT Martin | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Western Illinois | Western Illinois | Western Illinois | ||
| Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Long Island University | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Le Moyne | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| New Haven | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Saint Francis | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | UMass Lowell | |
| Stonehill | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Wagner | Wagner | Wagner | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Colgate | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Lafayette | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | Lehigh | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Mississippi State | Mississippi State | Mississippi State | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| South Carolina | South Carolina | South Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Mercer | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Chattanooga | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Furman | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Samford | Samford | Samford | ||
| UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | ||
| Western Carolina | Western Carolina | Western Carolina | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | Wofford | ||
| East Texas A&M | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Houston Christian | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Incarnate Word | Incarnate Word | Incarnate Word | ||
| Lamar | Lamar | Lamar | ||
| McNeese | McNeese | McNeese | ||
| Nicholls | Nicholls | Nicholls | ||
| Northwestern State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | SE Louisiana | |
| Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Stephen F. Austin | |
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | ||
| Alabama State | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Alcorn State | Alcorn State | Alcorn State | ||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Bethune-Cookman | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Florida A&M | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Grambling | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Jackson State | Jackson State | Jackson State | ||
| Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | ||
| Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | ||
| Southern | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Texas Southern | Texas Southern | Texas Southern | ||
| Kansas City | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| North Dakota State | North Dakota State | North Dakota State | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Omaha | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| South Dakota State | South Dakota State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Dakota State | |
| South Dakota | South Dakota | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Dakota | |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| App State | App State | App State | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Coastal Carolina | |
| Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | ||
| Georgia State | Georgia State | Georgia State | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Southern Miss | Southern Miss | Southern Miss | ||
| South Alabama | South Alabama | South Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| UL Monroe | UL Monroe | UL Monroe | ||
| Abilene Christian | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| California Baptist | California Baptist | California Baptist | ||
| Southern Utah | Southern Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southern Utah | |
| Tarleton State | Tarleton State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tarleton State | |
| UT Arlington | UT Arlington | UT Arlington | ||
| Utah Tech | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Utah Valley | Utah Valley | Utah Valley | ||
| Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | ||
| Oregon State | Oregon State | Oregon State | ||
| Pacific | UMass Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMass Lowell | |
| Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | ||
| San Diego | UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | ||
| Santa Clara | Santa Clara | Santa Clara | ||
| Seattle U | Seattle U | Seattle U |
PowerWise = 90
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H UT Arlington (11-13, 89.1) 1- 6 -10.82 4.76 -0.01 2.36 -12.79
0 H New Mexico Sta (14-15, 90.6) 0- 8 -9.34 6.23 -0.01 2.36 -11.05
0 H Utah Valley (17- 8, 92.0) 0-10 -7.89 7.68 -0.01 2.36 -9.34
0 H UTEP ( 9-17, 88.2) 12- 2 -11.69 3.88 -0.01 2.36 18.29
0 H UTSA (16-13, 89.6) 3- 4 -10.29 5.29 -0.01 2.36 -12.17
0 H UTSA (16-13, 89.6) 3- 1 -10.29 5.29 -0.01 2.36 24.94
------
-2.11
|
winning pts = 43.2318 losing points = -45.3454
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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