Ball State
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 90.3617Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Charlotte AC (14-15, 91.8) 3- 5 213 H Memphis AC ( 7-20, 87.8) 6- 2 227 A Illinois B10 ( 8-20, 89.1) 7- 6 228 H Western Kentucky CUSA (19- 7, 93.2) 4- 6 301 H Illinois B10 ( 8-20, 89.1) 2- 4 306 H Louisville ACC (21- 7, 93.8) 7- 5 307 H Louisville ACC (21- 7, 93.8) 1- 8 308 H Illinois B10 ( 8-20, 89.1) 3- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Charlotte 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.54
213 H Memphis 6- 2 4 3 1.43
227 A Illinois 7- 6 1 1 -0.24
228 H Western Kentucky 4- 6 -2 -3 0.84
301 H Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.26
306 H Louisville 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.43
307 H Louisville 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.57
308 H Illinois 3- 1 2 1 0.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Illinois 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.26 307 H Louisville 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Louisville 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.43 |
Ball State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Bryant | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Maine | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Albany | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UMBC | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UMass Lowell | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | Charlotte | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Florida Atlantic | |
| Memphis | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Texas | North Texas | North Texas | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | South Florida | |
| Tulsa | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Ball State | |
| Wichita State | Wichita State | Wichita State | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | NC State | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia Tech | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Austin Peay | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Bellarmine | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | ||
| Eastern Kentucky | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Florida Gulf Coast | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Ball State | |
| Jacksonville | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Lipscomb | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Alabama | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Florida | North Florida | North Florida | ||
| Queens University | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Stetson | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| West Georgia | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Dayton | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Fordham | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | George Mason | ||
| George Washington | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Loyola Chicago | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Rhode Island | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Saint Joseph's | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Saint Louis | Saint Louis | Saint Louis | ||
| St. Bonaventure | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Butler | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Creighton | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| DePaul | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Providence | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Seton Hall | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| St. John's | St. John's | St. John's | ||
| UConn | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Villanova | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Idaho State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Montana | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Northern Colorado | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Portland State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Sacramento State | Sacramento State | Sacramento State | ||
| Weber State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Illinois | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan State | Michigan State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan State | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona State | |
| BYU | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kansas | |
| Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| Charleston Southern | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Gardner-Webb | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Longwood | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Presbyterian | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Radford | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| USC Upstate | USC Upstate | USC Upstate | ||
| Winthrop | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | ||
| Cal State Northridge | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Cal Poly | Cal Poly | Cal Poly | ||
| Cal State Bakersfield | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Hawai'i | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Long Beach State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UC Riverside | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | ||
| UC San Diego | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Campbell | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Charleston | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Drexel | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Elon | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Hampton | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Hofstra | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Monmouth | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Carolina A&T | Ball State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Stony Brook | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UNC Wilmington | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Delaware | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| FIU | FIU | FIU | ||
| Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Jacksonville State | |
| Kennesaw State | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Middle Tennessee | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Missouri State | Missouri State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Missouri State | |
| New Mexico State | New Mexico State | New Mexico State | ||
| Sam Houston | Sam Houston | Sam Houston | ||
| UTEP | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Green Bay | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| IUPUI | Ball State | Ball State 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northern Kentucky | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Oakland | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Youngstown State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | ||
| Brown | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Columbia | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Yale | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Canisius | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Fairfield | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Manhattan | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Marist | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Merrimack | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Quinnipiac | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Rider | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| Akron | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Bowling Green | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Buffalo | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Central Michigan | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Kent State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Miami (OH) | |
| Northern Illinois | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Ohio | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Toledo | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Western Michigan | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Howard | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Carolina Central | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Coppin State | Coppin State | Coppin State | ||
| Delaware State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | ||
| Morgan State | Morgan State | Morgan State | ||
| Norfolk State | Norfolk State | Norfolk State | ||
| SC State | SC State | SC State | ||
| Belmont | Belmont | Belmont | ||
| Bradley | Ball State | Ball State 3- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Drake | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Evansville | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Illinois State | Illinois State | Illinois State | ||
| Indiana State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Murray State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Northern Iowa | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Southern Illinois | Ball State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| UIC | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Valparaiso | Valparaiso | Valparaiso | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Boise State | |
| Colorado State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Fresno State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Nevada | |
| New Mexico | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| San Diego State | San Diego State | San Diego State | ||
| San José State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Eastern Illinois | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Lindenwood | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Morehead State | Morehead State | Morehead State | ||
| Southeast Missouri State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| SIU Edwardsville | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Southern Indiana | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Tennessee Tech | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Tennessee State | Tennessee State | Tennessee State | ||
| UT Martin | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Western Illinois | Western Illinois | Western Illinois | ||
| Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Long Island University | Ball State | Ball State 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Le Moyne | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| New Haven | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Saint Francis | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Stonehill | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Wagner | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Army | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Boston University | Boston University | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Boston University | |
| Bucknell | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Colgate | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Lafayette | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Lehigh | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) | LSU | |
| Mississippi State | Mississippi State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mississippi State | |
| Missouri | Ball State | Ball State 2- 1 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| South Carolina | South Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | South Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Mercer | Ball State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| Chattanooga | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Furman | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Samford | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UNC Greensboro | |
| Western Carolina | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | Wofford | ||
| East Texas A&M | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Houston Christian | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Incarnate Word | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Lamar | Ball State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| McNeese | McNeese | McNeese | ||
| Nicholls | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Northwestern State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | ||
| Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | ||
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | Ball State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | ||
| Alabama State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Alcorn State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Bethune-Cookman | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Florida A&M | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Grambling | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Jackson State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | ||
| Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | ||
| Southern | Ball State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ball State | |
| Texas Southern | Texas Southern | Texas Southern | ||
| Kansas City | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| North Dakota State | North Dakota State | North Dakota State | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | Omaha | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Omaha | |
| South Dakota State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| South Dakota | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | ||
| App State | App State | App State | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Georgia Southern | Ball State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ball State | |
| Georgia State | Georgia State | Georgia State | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marshall | |
| Southern Miss | Southern Miss | Southern Miss | ||
| South Alabama | South Alabama | South Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| UL Monroe | UL Monroe | UL Monroe | ||
| Abilene Christian | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| California Baptist | California Baptist | California Baptist | ||
| Southern Utah | Southern Utah | Southern Utah | ||
| Tarleton State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| UT Arlington | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Utah Tech | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Utah Valley | Utah Valley | Utah Valley | ||
| Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | ||
| Oregon State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Pacific | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Saint Mary's | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| San Diego | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Santa Clara | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Seattle U | Seattle U | Seattle U |
PowerWise = 159
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Charlotte (14-15, 91.8) 3- 5 -8.06 7.51 -0.01 1.77 -7.15
0 H Memphis ( 7-20, 87.8) 6- 2 -12.10 3.48 -0.01 1.77 12.29
0 A Illinois ( 8-20, 89.1) 7- 6 -10.78 4.79 0.01 1.77 17.02
0 H Western Kentuc (19- 7, 93.2) 4- 6 -6.69 8.88 -0.01 1.77 -5.94
0 H Illinois ( 8-20, 89.1) 2- 4 -10.78 4.79 -0.01 1.77 -9.56
0 H Louisville (21- 7, 93.8) 7- 5 -6.10 9.48 -0.01 1.77 33.56
0 H Louisville (21- 7, 93.8) 1- 8 -6.10 9.48 -0.01 1.77 -5.41
0 H Illinois ( 8-20, 89.1) 3- 1 -10.78 4.79 -0.01 1.77 16.95
------
51.74
|
winning pts = 79.8095 losing points = -28.0660
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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