South Florida
W-L: ( 5- 2) PR = 86.5473Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 77.1) 20- 5 215 H Michigan Big Ten ( 6- 2, 91.7) 10-16 218 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 0- 8, 71.6) 25- 4 221 H Mercer Big South ( 3- 5, 84.5) 15-10 301 H Brown Ivy League ( 4- 3, 86.9) 13-10 307 H Navy Patriot ( 9- 0, 92.7) 8-19 314 A Temple AAC ( 8- 2, 85.2) 11-10 321 H James Madison AAC ( 4- 4, 89.2) 328 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5- 5, 74.9) 330 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 5- 2, 89.5) 402 H Liberty Atlantic Sun ( 2- 5, 79.3) 408 A Florida Big 12 ( 6- 2, 93.2) 411 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 5- 4, 78.5) 418 H East Carolina AAC ( 3- 4, 81.5) 425 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 4- 5, 83.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Niagara 20- 5 15 11 + 3.27
215 H Michigan 10-16 -6 -4 - -2.14
218 A Stetson 25- 4 21 14 0.43
221 H Mercer 15-10 5 3 1.64
301 H Brown 13-10 3 1 + 2.01
307 H Navy 8-19 -11 -5 --- -6.18
314 A Temple 11-10 1 0 0.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Navy 8-19 -11 -5 --- -6.18 215 H Michigan 10-16 -6 -4 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Niagara 20- 5 15 11 + 3.27 301 H Brown 13-10 3 1 + 2.01 |
South Florida Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Albany | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| American | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Arizona State | South Florida | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | South Florida | |
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Binghamton | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | South Florida | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | South Florida | |
| Brown | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Bryant | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Bucknell | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Butler | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| California | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Campbell | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Canisius | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Central Connecticut | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Central Michigan | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Cincinnati | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Colgate | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Connecticut | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Delaware | |
| Delaware State | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Drexel | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| East Carolina | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Eastern Michigan | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Elon | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Fairfield | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Florida | |
| Florida State | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Furman | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Gardner Webb | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| George Mason | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| George Washington | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| High Point | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Hofstra | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Holy Cross | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Howard (DC) | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Iona | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Kent State | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| La Salle | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Lafayette | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Le Moyne | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Lehigh | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Liberty | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Lindenwood | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| LIU | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Longwood | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Louisville | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Marist | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Marquette | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Mercer | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Mercyhurst | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Merrimack | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Mount St Marys | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| New Haven | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Niagara | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Oregon | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Penn | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Quinnipiac | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Radford | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Rhode Island | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Robert Morris | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| San Diego State | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Siena | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | South Florida | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | South Florida | |
| St Bonaventure | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| St Josephs (PA) | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Stonehill | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Towson | South Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| UC Davis | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| UMBC | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Vanderbilt | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| VCU | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Vermont | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Villanova | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Wagner | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| William & Mary | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Winthrop | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Wofford | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Xavier | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | South Florida | South Florida |
PowerWise = 99
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Niagara ( 1- 7, 77.1) 20- 5 -22.76 17.03 -1.33 1.18 37.02
0 H Michigan ( 6- 2, 91.7) 10-16 -8.16 31.63 -1.33 1.18 -5.60
0 A Stetson ( 0- 8, 71.6) 25- 4 -28.26 11.53 1.33 1.18 30.33
0 H Mercer ( 3- 5, 84.5) 15-10 -15.38 24.40 -1.33 1.18 54.42
0 H Brown ( 4- 3, 86.9) 13-10 -13.01 26.78 -1.33 1.18 60.02
0 H Navy ( 9- 0, 92.7) 8-19 -7.20 32.58 -1.33 1.18 -5.03
0 A Temple ( 8- 2, 85.2) 11-10 -14.71 25.07 1.33 1.18 62.28
------
233.44
|
winning pts = 244.0700 losing points = -10.6284
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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